Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | MONM -130 QUIN +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +10 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | MONM -0.7 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -1.1 (-11.1) | 146.8 (+13.2) | 50% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | MONM -0.4 (-10.4) | 148.2 (+11.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | MONM -0.5 (-10.5) | 144.4 (+15.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -0.8 (-10.8) | 145.9 (+14.1) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2022 | MONM 75 – 72 QUIN |
| Feb 6, 2022 | MONM 76 – 63 QUIN |
| Jan 16, 2021 | MONM 70 – 63 QUIN |
| Jan 15, 2021 | MONM 92 – 80 QUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-9 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#232) | -0.5 (#178) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#272) | 1.56 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.30 (#294) | 1.77 (#85) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#260) | 0.544 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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