Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | MONM -350 QUIN +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +7 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -12.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (-19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -9.7 (-2.7) | 147.0 (-14.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -10.5 (-3.5) | 149.8 (-16.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -10.9 (-3.9) | 151.4 (-18.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -10.2 (-3.2) | 147.3 (-14.3) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | QUIN 85 – 75 MONM |
| Mar 4, 2022 | MONM 75 – 72 QUIN |
| Feb 6, 2022 | MONM 76 – 63 QUIN |
| Jan 15, 2021 | MONM 92 – 80 QUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-8 | 9-13 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-10 |
| Home | 7-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 1-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#135) | -7.4 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#131) | -1.42 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#134) | -1.85 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#60) | 0.413 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 39.5% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 23.5% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 20.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 40.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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