Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +13 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | LBSU -11.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -10.0 (+3.0) | 136.0 (+7.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -10.1 (+2.9) | 137.3 (+5.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -9.5 (+3.5) | 136.9 (+6.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -9.6 (+3.4) | 137.3 (+5.7) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | CP 102 – 92 LBSU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | LBSU 74 – 66 CP |
| Mar 9, 2025 | CP 83 – 69 LBSU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | CP 78 – 69 LBSU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | LBSU 77 – 68 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 7-21 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 2-12 |
| Home | 11-3 | 4-7 |
| Away | 6-7 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#183) | -9.1 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#155) | -1.80 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#142) | -1.94 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#129) | 0.411 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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