Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +8 | 192 | Lost |
| Massey | BEL -12.8 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (+41.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -12.8 (+4.8) | 147.7 (+44.3) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -12.0 (+4.0) | 148.6 (+43.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -13.2 (+5.2) | 151.1 (+40.9) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -12.3 (+4.3) | 150.8 (+41.2) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2022 | BEL 92 – 77 TNTC |
| Feb 20, 2021 | BEL 90 – 66 TNTC |
| Jan 15, 2021 | BEL 88 – 67 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 15-3 |
| Home | 7-7 | 13-1 |
| Away | 3-12 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#255) | 11.1 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.09 (#324) | 1.99 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.31 (#315) | 2.26 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#317) | 0.586 (#41) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 49.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 57.3% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 14.8% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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