Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | TNTC +800 BEL -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +21 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | BEL -12.1 (-8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (+8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -10.4 (-10.6) | 145.7 (+9.3) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -11.6 (-9.4) | 145.9 (+9.1) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -11.1 (-9.9) | 147.8 (+7.2) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -12.6 (-8.4) | 149.3 (+5.7) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2022 | BEL 100 – 92 TNTC |
| Jan 14, 2022 | BEL 92 – 77 TNTC |
| Feb 20, 2021 | BEL 90 – 66 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-22 | 26-4 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 18-2 |
| Home | 5-6 | 11-1 |
| Away | 0-16 | 10-2 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 81.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -10.3 (#312) | 4.8 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#312) | 1.32 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.40 (#293) | 1.24 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#264) | 0.518 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 56.1% |
| TOV% | 23.5% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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