Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -20.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +24 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -22.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (+5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -17.4 (+6.6) | 150.2 (+5.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -18.6 (+5.4) | 151.1 (+4.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -19.8 (+4.2) | 151.3 (+4.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -20.7 (+3.3) | 151.5 (+4.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2022 | BEL 100 – 92 TNTC |
| Jan 14, 2022 | BEL 92 – 77 TNTC |
| Jan 15, 2021 | BEL 88 – 67 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-4 | 5-22 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 5-15 |
| Home | 11-1 | 5-6 |
| Away | 10-2 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.3 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#72) | -11.6 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.14 (#43) | -2.82 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.90 (#67) | -3.38 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#60) | 0.412 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.8% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.4% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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