Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -22.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
| Money | BEL -10000 TNTC +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +15 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -20.2 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (+23.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -18.5 (-3.5) | 147.7 (+21.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -17.4 (-2.4) | 146.5 (+22.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -18.8 (-3.8) | 145.9 (+23.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -17.8 (-2.8) | 147.2 (+21.8) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2022 | BEL 100 – 92 TNTC |
| Feb 20, 2021 | BEL 90 – 66 TNTC |
| Jan 15, 2021 | BEL 88 – 67 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-10 |
| Home | 13-1 | 7-7 |
| Away | 10-5 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 12.6 (#25) | -3.7 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.65 (#28) | -2.13 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.42 (#29) | -2.28 (#308) |
| RPI | 0.629 (#19) | 0.398 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.9% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.3% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 13.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.9% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
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