Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +15 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -9.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -10.1 (+4.9) | 139.7 (+9.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -9.4 (+5.6) | 142.8 (+6.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -9.1 (+5.9) | 142.1 (+6.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -10.2 (+4.8) | 140.6 (+8.4) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | OSU 82 – 62 MD |
| Feb 7, 2025 | OSU 73 – 70 MD |
| Dec 4, 2024 | MD 83 – 59 OSU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | OSU 79 – 75 MD |
| Mar 2, 2023 | OSU 73 – 62 MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 7-13 |
| Home | 13-3 | 10-8 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 12.4 (#23) | 6.3 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.79 (#20) | 0.99 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.47 (#17) | 1.37 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.629 (#14) | 0.539 (#106) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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