Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | OSU -115 MD -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +11 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -0.6 (+10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -0.8 (+10.2) | 139.4 (-4.4) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -1.1 (+9.9) | 135.4 (-0.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -0.3 (+10.7) | 139.1 (-4.1) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -0.4 (+10.6) | 139.8 (-4.8) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | OSU 82 – 62 MD |
| Feb 7, 2025 | OSU 73 – 70 MD |
| Dec 4, 2024 | MD 83 – 59 OSU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | OSU 79 – 75 MD |
| Jan 8, 2023 | MD 80 – 73 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-19 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-6 | 16-1 |
| Away | 1-10 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 63.5 |
| Massey | 9.9 (#51) | 12.8 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#110) | 2.10 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#84) | 2.71 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#182) | 0.589 (#34) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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