This dance ain't for everybody. Only the sexy people. "Push It" - Salt-n-Pepa
Big Ten Conference · Schottenstein Center · March 2, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread OSU -1.5 Home covered
O/U 135.5 Under
Money OSU -115 / MD -111
Model Predictions
Spread Total OSU win
Actual OSU +11 135 Won
Massey OSU -0.6 (+10.4)
Massey Totals 138.9 (-3.9)
Bradley-Terry 32%
Weighted B-T 34%
Efficiency Plus ML OSU -1.1 (+9.9) 135.4 (-0.4) 59%
Baseline Tuned ML OSU -0.3 (+10.7) 139.1 (-4.1) 49%
Baseline ML OSU -0.4 (+10.6) 139.8 (-4.8) 52%
Baseline Plus ML OSU -0.8 (+10.2) 139.4 (-4.4) 54%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2026 OSU 8262 MD
Feb 7, 2025 OSU 7370 MD
Dec 4, 2024 MD 8359 OSU
Feb 10, 2024 OSU 7975 MD
Jan 8, 2023 MD 8073 OSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OSU MD
Overall 16-19 22-13
Conference 5-15 11-9
Home 10-6 16-1
Away 1-10 2-9
Neutral 5-3 4-3
Last 5 1-4 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 72.5 69.7
Avg Pts Against 69.0 63.5
Massey 9.9 (#51) 12.8 (#24)
Bradley-Terry 0.74 (#110) 2.10 (#31)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.36 (#84) 2.71 (#24)
RPI 0.500 (#182) 0.589 (#34)
Shooting & Four Factors OSU MD
FG% 46.0% 45.5%
3PT% 35.4% 32.4%
REB / G 37.0 34.4
OREB / G 11.2 9.8
AST / TO 1.05 1.09
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.5% 51.5%
TOV% 16.3% 16.2%
ORB% 32.4% 30.2%
FT Rate 19.1% 25.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.7% 47.1%
Opp TOV% 16.1% 18.4%
DRB% 71.8% 72.8%
Opp FT Rate 19.6% 20.0%

Game Analysis

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