Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | OSU -150 MD +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +4 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -3.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.3 (+23.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -3.1 (+0.9) | 134.0 (+20.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -3.5 (+0.5) | 130.0 (+24.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -3.1 (+0.9) | 132.4 (+21.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -3.1 (+0.9) | 132.9 (+21.1) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | OSU 82 – 62 MD |
| Feb 7, 2025 | OSU 73 – 70 MD |
| Dec 4, 2024 | MD 83 – 59 OSU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | OSU 73 – 62 MD |
| Jan 8, 2023 | MD 80 – 73 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 7-13 |
| Home | 15-5 | 11-6 |
| Away | 2-8 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 65.9 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#69) | 8.9 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#96) | 1.02 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#85) | 1.69 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#111) | 0.523 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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