Betting Lines
| Spread | MD -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | MD -133 OSU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MD +7 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -2.1 (+9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (+12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -1.3 (+8.3) | 141.8 (+11.2) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -2.0 (+9.0) | 138.9 (+14.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -0.6 (+7.6) | 141.7 (+11.3) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -1.8 (+8.8) | 142.5 (+10.5) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | OSU 82 – 62 MD |
| Feb 7, 2025 | OSU 73 – 70 MD |
| Dec 4, 2024 | MD 83 – 59 OSU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | OSU 79 – 75 MD |
| Mar 2, 2023 | OSU 73 – 62 MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MD | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 16-19 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 5-15 |
| Home | 16-1 | 10-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.5 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 9.7 (#47) | 16.0 (#9) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#56) | 1.94 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#59) | 2.68 (#34) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#38) | 0.584 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MD | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 36.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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