I know you're dissatisfied with your position and your place. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Big Ten Conference · Schottenstein Center · February 7, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread OSU -1.5 Home covered
O/U 147.5 Under
Money OSU -125 / MD -105
Model Predictions
Spread Total OSU win
Actual OSU +3 143 Won
Massey OSU -0.4 (+2.6)
Massey Totals 151.0 (-8.0)
Bradley-Terry 52%
Weighted B-T 57%
Efficiency Plus ML OSU -1.3 (+1.7) 147.5 (-4.5) 58%
Baseline Tuned ML OSU -2.3 (+0.7) 149.3 (-6.3) 60%
Baseline ML OSU -1.9 (+1.1) 151.1 (-8.1) 64%
Baseline Plus ML OSU -1.7 (+1.3) 151.2 (-8.2) 63%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2026 OSU 8262 MD
Dec 4, 2024 MD 8359 OSU
Feb 10, 2024 OSU 7975 MD
Mar 2, 2023 OSU 7362 MD
Jan 8, 2023 MD 8073 OSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OSU MD
Overall 17-15 27-9
Conference 9-11 14-6
Home 11-6 17-2
Away 4-7 5-5
Neutral 2-2 5-2
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 78.8 81.1
Avg Pts Against 73.5 67.2
Massey 16.8 (#24) 19.6 (#11)
Bradley-Terry 2.17 (#44) 2.65 (#31)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.36 (#29) 3.73 (#21)
RPI 0.584 (#45) 0.593 (#39)
Shooting & Four Factors OSU MD
FG% 47.6% 48.4%
3PT% 37.9% 37.2%
REB / G 35.3 37.1
OREB / G 9.5 11.0
AST / TO 1.21 1.49
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.5% 55.1%
TOV% 15.7% 14.6%
ORB% 29.1% 32.4%
FT Rate 26.1% 23.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.3% 47.4%
Opp TOV% 16.6% 21.1%
DRB% 71.0% 73.3%
Opp FT Rate 29.8% 18.7%

Game Analysis

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