Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | OSU -125 MD -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +3 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -0.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -1.7 (+1.3) | 151.2 (-8.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -1.3 (+1.7) | 147.5 (-4.5) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -2.3 (+0.7) | 149.3 (-6.3) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -1.9 (+1.1) | 151.1 (-8.1) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | OSU 82 – 62 MD |
| Dec 4, 2024 | MD 83 – 59 OSU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | OSU 79 – 75 MD |
| Mar 2, 2023 | OSU 73 – 62 MD |
| Jan 8, 2023 | MD 80 – 73 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-6 | 17-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 81.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 16.8 (#24) | 19.6 (#11) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.17 (#44) | 2.65 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.36 (#29) | 3.73 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#45) | 0.593 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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