Betting Lines
| Spread | MD -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | MD -240 OSU +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MD +24 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | MD -3.2 (+20.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MD -3.8 (+20.2) | 150.2 (-8.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MD -4.8 (+19.2) | 145.0 (-3.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MD -4.8 (+19.2) | 146.8 (-4.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MD -4.5 (+19.5) | 148.0 (-6.0) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | OSU 82 – 62 MD |
| Feb 7, 2025 | OSU 73 – 70 MD |
| Feb 10, 2024 | OSU 79 – 75 MD |
| Mar 2, 2023 | OSU 73 – 62 MD |
| Jan 8, 2023 | MD 80 – 73 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MD | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 9-11 |
| Home | 17-2 | 11-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.1 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 17.3 (#14) | 19.3 (#8) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.02 (#52) | 1.64 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.74 (#61) | 2.89 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#99) | 0.563 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MD | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.8% | 51.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 44.8% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 1.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 60.6% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.1% | 41.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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