The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
Summit League · Swinney Center · February 6, 2022
Betting Lines
O/U 144.0 Over
Money KC -110 / WIU -110
Model Predictions
Spread Total KC win
Actual KC +9 173 Won
Massey WIU -0.5 (+9.5) — —
Massey Totals — 143.6 (+29.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 60% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 70% ✓
Baseline Plus ML KC -1.2 (+7.8) 150.0 (+23.0) 63% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KC -1.5 (+7.5) 147.0 (+26.0) 66% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML KC -1.8 (+7.2) 147.2 (+25.8) 59% ✓
Baseline ML KC -1.0 (+8.0) 147.8 (+25.2) 60% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 10, 2023 KC 76 – 64 WIU
Jan 15, 2023 WIU 60 – 52 KC
Feb 1, 2022 KC 83 – 75 WIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KC WIU
Overall 19-12 16-16
Conference 12-6 7-11
Home 11-3 9-6
Away 8-7 7-9
Neutral 0-2 0-1
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L2 L3
Avg Pts For 70.7 76.8
Avg Pts Against 71.0 77.7
Massey -4.7 (#250) -1.0 (#188)
Bradley-Terry -0.41 (#209) -0.31 (#199)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.19 (#193) -0.43 (#204)
RPI 0.486 (#193) 0.474 (#214)
Shooting & Four Factors KC WIU
FG% 44.4% 43.6%
3PT% 34.1% 34.0%
REB / G 29.5 37.9
OREB / G 7.4 11.8
AST / TO 1.04 1.02
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.6% 50.6%
TOV% 16.9% 15.7%
ORB% 22.0% 29.7%
FT Rate 18.9% 19.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.2% 51.6%
Opp TOV% 22.2% 18.2%
DRB% 75.4% 76.5%
Opp FT Rate 35.2% 25.0%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.