Lord Lucan is missing. "Lord Lucan is Missing" - The Dodgems
Summit League · Western Hall · February 1, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread WIU -6.0 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total WIU win
Actual KC +8 158 Lost
Massey WIU -8.4 (-16.4) — —
Massey Totals — 140.7 (+17.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 72% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 66% ✗
Baseline Plus ML WIU -5.4 (-13.4) 144.0 (+14.0) 70% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WIU -4.9 (-12.9) 143.1 (+14.9) 68% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML WIU -5.6 (-13.6) 142.4 (+15.6) 75% ✗
Baseline ML WIU -5.2 (-13.2) 143.3 (+14.7) 72% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 10, 2023 KC 76 – 64 WIU
Jan 15, 2023 WIU 60 – 52 KC
Feb 6, 2022 KC 91 – 82 WIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WIU KC
Overall 16-16 19-12
Conference 7-11 12-6
Home 9-6 11-3
Away 7-9 8-7
Neutral 0-1 0-2
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L3 L2
Avg Pts For 76.8 70.7
Avg Pts Against 77.7 71.0
Massey -0.7 (#183) -5.8 (#270)
Bradley-Terry -0.32 (#200) -0.71 (#235)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.47 (#206) -0.51 (#208)
RPI 0.473 (#214) 0.472 (#216)
Shooting & Four Factors WIU KC
FG% 43.1% 43.4%
3PT% 33.1% 31.9%
REB / G 38.3 29.2
OREB / G 12.1 7.2
AST / TO 1.01 1.01
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.0% 49.3%
TOV% 15.5% 16.7%
ORB% 30.1% 21.0%
FT Rate 20.3% 19.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.8% 52.2%
Opp TOV% 18.4% 22.5%
DRB% 76.3% 74.9%
Opp FT Rate 25.9% 35.5%

Game Analysis

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