Everybody know I'm a motherfucking monster. "Monster" - Kanye West
Summit League · Western Hall · February 10, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread WIU -1.5 Away covered
O/U 134.5 Over
Money WIU -120 / KC +125
Model Predictions
Spread Total WIU win
Actual KC +12 140 Lost
Massey WIU -2.9 (-14.9) — —
Massey Totals — 131.5 (+8.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 79% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 79% ✗
Baseline Plus ML WIU -2.2 (-14.2) 136.1 (+3.9) 64% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WIU -0.6 (-12.6) 134.2 (+5.8) 55% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML WIU -2.4 (-14.4) 137.5 (+2.5) 63% ✗
Baseline ML WIU -2.5 (-14.5) 138.3 (+1.7) 64% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 15, 2023 WIU 60 – 52 KC
Feb 6, 2022 KC 91 – 82 WIU
Feb 1, 2022 KC 83 – 75 WIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WIU KC
Overall 16-14 11-21
Conference 9-9 7-11
Home 11-4 6-8
Away 5-9 3-11
Neutral 0-1 2-2
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L2 L6
Avg Pts For 70.9 63.0
Avg Pts Against 73.8 69.5
Massey -5.3 (#260) -4.6 (#250)
Bradley-Terry -0.06 (#178) -0.73 (#248)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.41 (#203) -0.97 (#252)
RPI 0.497 (#182) 0.462 (#252)
Shooting & Four Factors WIU KC
FG% 44.3% 39.0%
3PT% 31.3% 26.9%
REB / G 33.9 36.8
OREB / G 9.4 13.6
AST / TO 1.21 0.70
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.3% 43.8%
TOV% 16.2% 20.0%
ORB% 27.0% 37.0%
FT Rate 25.1% 24.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.9% 48.6%
Opp TOV% 16.2% 19.0%
DRB% 74.2% 68.5%
Opp FT Rate 18.8% 29.3%

Game Analysis

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