Betting Lines
| Spread | KC -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | KC -250 WIU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +8 | 112 | Lost |
| Massey | KC -7.7 (-15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.2 (-21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KC -4.5 (-12.5) | 138.9 (-26.9) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KC -4.5 (-12.5) | 136.1 (-24.1) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KC -5.2 (-13.2) | 138.3 (-26.3) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KC -5.7 (-13.7) | 139.2 (-27.2) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2023 | KC 76 – 64 WIU |
| Feb 6, 2022 | KC 91 – 82 WIU |
| Feb 1, 2022 | KC 83 – 75 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-8 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-11 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.0 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#208) | -5.4 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#208) | -0.52 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#207) | -0.72 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#188) | 0.469 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 36.8% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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