Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +4 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | LT -6.7 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (+26.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -6.6 (+2.6) | 144.5 (+23.5) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -3.8 (-0.2) | 143.9 (+24.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -4.5 (+0.5) | 144.9 (+23.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -4.5 (+0.5) | 146.0 (+22.0) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | FIU 84 – 76 LT |
| Feb 14, 2026 | FIU 77 – 64 LT |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LT 82 – 71 FIU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | LT 81 – 64 FIU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LT 75 – 68 FIU |
Game Analysis
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