Betting Lines
| Spread | TAR -14.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Under |
| Money | TAR -1000 CHST +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TAR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TAR +3 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | TAR -15.9 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.1 (-18.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TAR -12.6 (-9.6) | 136.6 (-25.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TAR -12.1 (-9.1) | 133.1 (-22.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TAR -11.1 (-8.1) | 136.3 (-25.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TAR -11.4 (-8.4) | 137.1 (-26.1) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 12, 2023 | TAR 73 – 63 CHST |
| Feb 19, 2022 | TAR 79 – 60 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TAR | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 3-15 |
| Home | 10-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 4-12 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 62.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#173) | -12.9 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#206) | -2.05 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#184) | -2.65 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#180) | 0.408 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TAR | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 29.6 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 23.2% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.0% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.