Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +13 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | SCU -5.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -4.3 (-8.7) | 145.9 (-0.9) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -3.0 (-10.0) | 147.0 (-2.0) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -4.1 (-8.9) | 149.3 (-4.3) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -3.9 (-9.1) | 148.1 (-3.1) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | SCU 85 – 73 USD |
| Jan 5, 2026 | SCU 98 – 70 USD |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SCU 93 – 70 USD |
| Jan 3, 2025 | SCU 81 – 80 USD |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SCU 104 – 79 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 10-5 |
| Home | 8-6 | 14-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#186) | 7.3 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#157) | 1.26 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#132) | 1.67 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#158) | 0.566 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 15.1% |
Game Analysis
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