Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | SCU -700 USD +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +25 | 183 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -9.2 (+15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (+33.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -7.3 (+17.7) | 146.3 (+36.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -8.0 (+17.0) | 146.0 (+37.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -7.2 (+17.8) | 145.3 (+37.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -7.6 (+17.4) | 145.0 (+38.0) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | SCU 85 – 73 USD |
| Jan 5, 2026 | SCU 98 – 70 USD |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SCU 93 – 70 USD |
| Jan 3, 2025 | SCU 81 – 80 USD |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SCU 82 – 69 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 7-9 |
| Home | 11-4 | 12-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#108) | -5.1 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#107) | 0.06 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#111) | -0.14 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#126) | 0.499 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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