Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | USD +750 SCU -1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +12 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | SCU -12.9 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -12.2 (+0.2) | 152.5 (+5.5) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -12.8 (+0.8) | 154.3 (+3.7) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -12.2 (+0.2) | 152.5 (+5.5) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -12.3 (+0.3) | 154.6 (+3.4) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 5, 2026 | SCU 98 – 70 USD |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SCU 93 – 70 USD |
| Jan 3, 2025 | SCU 81 – 80 USD |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SCU 104 – 79 USD |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SCU 82 – 69 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 15-3 |
| Home | 9-8 | 14-1 |
| Away | 2-11 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 82.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#214) | 12.9 (#42) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#217) | 2.05 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#221) | 3.04 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#258) | 0.598 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 38.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 61.9% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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