I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
West Coast Conference · Jenny Craig Pavilion · February 18, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread SCU -6.5 Away covered
O/U 152.5 Under
Money USD +210 / SCU -275
Model Predictions
Spread Total USD win
Actual SCU +13 151 Lost
Massey SCU -4.5 (-8.5) — —
Massey Totals — 152.1 (-1.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 50% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 46% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SCU -3.4 (-9.6) 150.9 (+0.1) 36% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SCU -4.6 (-8.4) 148.9 (+2.1) 32% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SCU -2.6 (-10.4) 150.0 (+1.0) 39% ✓
Baseline ML SCU -3.0 (-10.0) 150.7 (+0.3) 41% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 25, 2026 SCU 85 – 73 USD
Jan 5, 2026 SCU 98 – 70 USD
Feb 9, 2025 SCU 93 – 70 USD
Jan 3, 2025 SCU 81 – 80 USD
Mar 10, 2024 SCU 104 – 79 USD

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings USD SCU
Overall 18-15 20-13
Conference 7-9 10-6
Home 12-6 11-4
Away 4-7 5-6
Neutral 2-2 4-3
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 72.5 76.0
Avg Pts Against 78.1 72.3
Massey -3.9 (#236) 4.0 (#114)
Bradley-Terry 0.22 (#155) 0.86 (#110)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.12 (#162) 0.98 (#112)
RPI 0.501 (#171) 0.528 (#127)
Shooting & Four Factors USD SCU
FG% 44.7% 45.9%
3PT% 36.4% 34.9%
REB / G 34.8 38.7
OREB / G 9.7 12.0
AST / TO 0.97 1.12
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.8% 52.7%
TOV% 19.3% 19.1%
ORB% 27.8% 35.0%
FT Rate 22.8% 22.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.7% 47.8%
Opp TOV% 17.5% 14.6%
DRB% 68.9% 72.4%
Opp FT Rate 25.2% 24.4%

Game Analysis

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