I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
West Coast Conference · Jenny Craig Pavilion · January 3, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SCU -13.5 Home covered
O/U 152.5 Over
Money USD +750 / SCU -1400
Model Predictions
Spread Total USD win
Actual SCU +1 161 Lost
Massey SCU -12.8 (+11.8) — —
Massey Totals — 150.0 (+11.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 7% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 4% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SCU -11.2 (+10.2) 147.6 (+13.4) 14% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SCU -11.5 (+10.5) 148.8 (+12.2) 13% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SCU -11.5 (+10.5) 148.2 (+12.8) 14% ✓
Baseline ML SCU -10.8 (+9.8) 149.1 (+11.9) 15% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 25, 2026 SCU 85 – 73 USD
Jan 5, 2026 SCU 98 – 70 USD
Feb 9, 2025 SCU 93 – 70 USD
Mar 10, 2024 SCU 104 – 79 USD
Feb 18, 2024 SCU 82 – 69 USD

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings USD SCU
Overall 6-27 21-13
Conference 2-16 12-6
Home 5-13 12-5
Away 0-12 6-5
Neutral 1-2 3-3
Last 5 1-4 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.2 81.9
Avg Pts Against 80.2 73.0
Massey -8.7 (#308) 8.2 (#71)
Bradley-Terry -2.43 (#339) 0.99 (#93)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.55 (#324) 1.37 (#91)
RPI 0.372 (#351) 0.570 (#68)
Shooting & Four Factors USD SCU
FG% 40.4% 45.8%
3PT% 27.9% 35.4%
REB / G 36.0 38.8
OREB / G 10.8 12.6
AST / TO 0.79 1.32
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.6% 53.9%
TOV% 21.0% 17.4%
ORB% 28.4% 34.7%
FT Rate 19.6% 22.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.7% 50.3%
Opp TOV% 19.8% 17.5%
DRB% 69.4% 70.3%
Opp FT Rate 29.6% 24.1%

Game Analysis

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