Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
West Coast Conference · Leavey Center · January 5, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread SCU -17.5 Home covered
O/U 161.5 Over
Money SCU -1800 / USD +1000
Model Predictions
Spread Total SCU win
Actual SCU +28 168 Won
Massey SCU -17.1 (+10.9) — —
Massey Totals — 157.8 (+10.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 95% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 99% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SCU -16.2 (+11.8) 152.4 (+15.6) 88% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SCU -18.3 (+9.7) 151.0 (+17.0) 89% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SCU -15.0 (+13.0) 151.0 (+17.0) 89% ✓
Baseline ML SCU -15.7 (+12.3) 151.4 (+16.6) 88% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 25, 2026 SCU 85 – 73 USD
Feb 9, 2025 SCU 93 – 70 USD
Jan 3, 2025 SCU 81 – 80 USD
Mar 10, 2024 SCU 104 – 79 USD
Feb 18, 2024 SCU 82 – 69 USD

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SCU USD
Overall 26-9 12-21
Conference 15-3 5-13
Home 14-1 9-8
Away 8-3 2-11
Neutral 4-5 1-2
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 82.9 72.8
Avg Pts Against 73.5 78.8
Massey 10.3 (#58) -2.9 (#213)
Bradley-Terry 1.84 (#55) -0.41 (#212)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.85 (#47) -0.66 (#212)
RPI 0.596 (#41) 0.466 (#238)
Shooting & Four Factors SCU USD
FG% 46.4% 43.1%
3PT% 33.1% 32.6%
REB / G 35.7 29.3
OREB / G 13.9 9.6
AST / TO 1.48 1.18
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.9% 50.5%
TOV% 17.2% 17.7%
ORB% 39.8% 27.4%
FT Rate 18.6% 22.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.9% 54.2%
Opp TOV% 20.9% 20.7%
DRB% 68.6% 61.6%
Opp FT Rate 31.5% 27.3%

Game Analysis

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