Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +13 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -11.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (+12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -9.8 (+3.2) | 143.2 (+11.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -10.6 (+2.4) | 144.4 (+10.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -10.8 (+2.2) | 144.6 (+10.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -10.4 (+2.6) | 142.5 (+12.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CLE 90 – 88 MILW |
| Dec 21, 2025 | MILW 81 – 71 CLE |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CLE 77 – 60 MILW |
| Dec 6, 2024 | MILW 79 – 67 CLE |
| Feb 15, 2024 | MILW 71 – 68 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 15-6 | 8-14 |
| Home | 15-3 | 6-10 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#180) | -9.3 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#134) | -2.28 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#149) | -2.61 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#109) | 0.388 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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