Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | MILW -360 CLE +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +12 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -13.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (+10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -8.3 (+3.7) | 133.4 (+12.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -8.5 (+3.5) | 133.9 (+12.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -8.0 (+4.0) | 133.9 (+12.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -8.8 (+3.2) | 132.5 (+13.5) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CLE 90 – 88 MILW |
| Dec 21, 2025 | MILW 81 – 71 CLE |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CLE 77 – 60 MILW |
| Feb 15, 2024 | MILW 71 – 68 CLE |
| Jan 12, 2024 | MILW 88 – 80 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 68.0 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#171) | -9.4 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#168) | -0.55 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#141) | -0.55 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#172) | 0.476 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 22.2% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 42.5% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 38.6% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 24.9% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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