Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | MILW -500 CLE +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +2 | 178 | Lost |
| Massey | MILW -8.9 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.2 (+14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -6.7 (-8.7) | 153.5 (+24.5) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -7.7 (-9.7) | 155.5 (+22.5) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -6.6 (-8.6) | 151.8 (+26.2) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -6.4 (-8.4) | 153.4 (+24.6) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2025 | MILW 81 – 71 CLE |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CLE 77 – 60 MILW |
| Dec 6, 2024 | MILW 79 – 67 CLE |
| Feb 15, 2024 | MILW 71 – 68 CLE |
| Jan 12, 2024 | MILW 88 – 80 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 6-14 |
| Home | 9-6 | 7-8 |
| Away | 3-14 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 78.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.9 | 88.6 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#242) | -10.7 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#227) | -1.31 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#244) | -1.79 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#235) | 0.428 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 32.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 61.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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