Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | CLE -213 MILW +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +3 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | CLE -6.2 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.0 (-21.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -5.1 (-8.1) | 157.8 (-18.8) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -3.7 (-6.7) | 156.2 (-17.2) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -4.9 (-7.9) | 155.5 (-16.5) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -4.4 (-7.4) | 157.4 (-18.4) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CLE 90 – 88 MILW |
| Dec 21, 2025 | MILW 81 – 71 CLE |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CLE 77 – 60 MILW |
| Dec 6, 2024 | MILW 79 – 67 CLE |
| Jan 12, 2024 | MILW 88 – 80 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 12-8 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-10 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#199) | -4.5 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#173) | -0.66 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#194) | -1.22 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#159) | 0.477 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 63.9% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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