Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | CLE -125 MILW +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +17 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -0.3 (+16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -0.9 (+16.1) | 138.7 (-1.7) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -1.1 (+15.9) | 138.0 (-1.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -2.0 (+15.0) | 140.0 (-3.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -1.4 (+15.6) | 142.2 (-5.2) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CLE 90 – 88 MILW |
| Dec 21, 2025 | MILW 81 – 71 CLE |
| Dec 6, 2024 | MILW 79 – 67 CLE |
| Feb 15, 2024 | MILW 71 – 68 CLE |
| Jan 12, 2024 | MILW 88 – 80 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 7-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#170) | 2.5 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#131) | 0.43 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#131) | 0.76 (#116) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#128) | 0.542 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 14.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 41.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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