Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | MILW -167 CLE +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +8 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -0.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.2 (+7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -0.6 (+7.4) | 156.7 (+11.3) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -0.4 (+7.6) | 154.0 (+14.0) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -0.6 (+7.4) | 155.6 (+12.4) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -0.8 (+7.2) | 156.4 (+11.6) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CLE 90 – 88 MILW |
| Dec 21, 2025 | MILW 81 – 71 CLE |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CLE 77 – 60 MILW |
| Dec 6, 2024 | MILW 79 – 67 CLE |
| Feb 15, 2024 | MILW 71 – 68 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-9 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#250) | -0.7 (#178) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#234) | 0.40 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#260) | 0.30 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#235) | 0.515 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 14.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 36.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 63.5% | 62.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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