Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUF -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +14 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | CSUF -9.2 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUF -6.6 (+7.4) | 129.9 (+6.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUF -7.6 (+6.4) | 133.1 (+2.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUF -7.4 (+6.6) | 134.0 (+2.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUF -7.7 (+6.3) | 133.4 (+2.6) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | CSUF 88 – 80 CSUB |
| Feb 8, 2026 | CSUF 82 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 15, 2025 | CSUB 91 – 54 CSUF |
| Jan 24, 2025 | CSUB 71 – 68 CSUF |
| Feb 10, 2024 | CSUB 73 – 71 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 8-19 |
| Conference | 11-4 | 2-12 |
| Home | 11-2 | 5-7 |
| Away | 7-7 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#140) | -4.8 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#133) | -1.34 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#141) | -1.47 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#151) | 0.435 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 35.7% |
Game Analysis
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