Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +6 | 106 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -11.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (-31.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -12.4 (-6.4) | 136.7 (-30.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -10.3 (-4.3) | 139.0 (-33.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -10.9 (-4.9) | 139.2 (-33.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -10.6 (-4.6) | 138.4 (-32.4) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2025 | GCU 75 – 66 CBU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | GCU 66 – 64 CBU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | CBU 85 – 71 GCU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | GCU 68 – 47 CBU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | GCU 79 – 76 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-8 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 15-2 | 14-5 |
| Away | 7-5 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.0 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#99) | -3.0 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#94) | -0.63 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#110) | -0.88 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#121) | 0.457 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 36.9% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.2% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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