Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | GCU -1200 CBU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +3 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -14.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (+18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -12.0 (-9.0) | 137.7 (+17.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -14.6 (-11.6) | 139.0 (+16.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -13.2 (-10.2) | 138.6 (+16.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -12.8 (-9.8) | 138.7 (+16.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2025 | GCU 75 – 66 CBU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | GCU 66 – 64 CBU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | CBU 85 – 71 GCU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | GCU 68 – 47 CBU |
| Jan 15, 2023 | CBU 79 – 74 GCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-5 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 8-12 |
| Home | 16-0 | 11-7 |
| Away | 8-3 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.8 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 9.9 (#55) | -1.3 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.70 (#10) | -0.25 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.10 (#18) | -0.22 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.612 (#20) | 0.468 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 34.6% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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