Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | GCU -380 CBU +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +9 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -5.8 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -5.8 (+3.2) | 142.2 (-1.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -5.7 (+3.3) | 141.2 (-0.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -5.4 (+3.6) | 142.2 (-1.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -4.9 (+4.1) | 143.1 (-2.1) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2025 | GCU 66 – 64 CBU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | CBU 85 – 71 GCU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | GCU 68 – 47 CBU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | GCU 79 – 76 CBU |
| Jan 15, 2023 | CBU 79 – 74 GCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 9-7 |
| Home | 16-1 | 11-5 |
| Away | 5-4 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#93) | -0.5 (#165) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#94) | -0.13 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#99) | -0.10 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#90) | 0.510 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 31.7% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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