Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | CBU +275 GCU -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +21 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | GCU -7.2 (-13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (-21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -7.1 (-13.9) | 135.7 (-20.7) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -7.8 (-13.2) | 135.4 (-20.4) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -6.7 (-14.3) | 136.2 (-21.2) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -6.1 (-14.9) | 136.4 (-21.4) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2025 | GCU 75 – 66 CBU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | GCU 66 – 64 CBU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | CBU 85 – 71 GCU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | GCU 79 – 76 CBU |
| Jan 15, 2023 | CBU 79 – 74 GCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 30-5 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 17-3 |
| Home | 11-7 | 16-0 |
| Away | 4-9 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 77.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 66.8 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#184) | 9.1 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#224) | 2.08 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#210) | 2.43 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#257) | 0.603 (#20) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 33.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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