Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | CBU +110 GCU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +5 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -1.1 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.6 (+28.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -1.9 (+6.9) | 131.4 (+21.6) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -2.4 (+7.4) | 131.8 (+21.2) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -1.8 (+6.8) | 133.5 (+19.5) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -1.7 (+6.7) | 131.4 (+21.6) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2025 | GCU 75 – 66 CBU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | GCU 66 – 64 CBU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | CBU 85 – 71 GCU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | GCU 68 – 47 CBU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | GCU 79 – 76 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-5 | 14-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#161) | 5.7 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#194) | 0.83 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#175) | 1.02 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#230) | 0.540 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 44.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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