Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | CBU +210 GCU -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +14 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -3.6 (+17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -2.2 (+16.2) | 142.5 (+13.5) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -1.3 (+15.3) | 142.4 (+13.6) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -1.8 (+15.8) | 143.1 (+12.9) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -1.6 (+15.6) | 145.1 (+10.9) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2025 | GCU 75 – 66 CBU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | GCU 66 – 64 CBU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | GCU 68 – 47 CBU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | GCU 79 – 76 CBU |
| Jan 15, 2023 | CBU 79 – 74 GCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 13-3 |
| Home | 11-5 | 16-1 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#168) | 6.6 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#196) | 1.18 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#187) | 1.21 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#199) | 0.541 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 33.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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