You pay for this but they give you that. "Hey Hey, My My" - Neil Young
Western Athletic Conference · Global Credit Union Arena · February 23, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread GCU -11.5 Away covered
O/U 147.5 Under
Money GCU -1000 / CBU +600
Model Predictions
Spread Total GCU win
Actual GCU +2 130 Won
Massey GCU -8.3 (-6.3)
Massey Totals 149.5 (-19.5)
Bradley-Terry 85%
Weighted B-T 85%
Baseline ML GCU -7.9 (-5.9) 146.2 (-16.2) 80%
Baseline Plus ML GCU -6.8 (-4.8) 147.7 (-17.7) 79%
Efficiency Plus ML GCU -9.9 (-7.9) 146.1 (-16.1) 84%
Baseline Tuned ML GCU -7.8 (-5.8) 147.3 (-17.3) 80%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 15, 2025 GCU 7566 CBU
Feb 9, 2025 CBU 8571 GCU
Mar 10, 2024 GCU 6847 CBU
Feb 18, 2024 GCU 7976 CBU
Jan 15, 2023 CBU 7974 GCU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GCU CBU
Overall 26-8 17-15
Conference 13-3 9-7
Home 16-1 11-5
Away 5-4 4-8
Neutral 5-3 2-2
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 77.6 71.2
Avg Pts Against 70.0 70.0
Massey 5.1 (#97) 0.0 (#160)
Bradley-Terry 1.00 (#89) -0.20 (#193)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.99 (#102) -0.10 (#176)
RPI 0.537 (#107) 0.492 (#199)
Shooting & Four Factors GCU CBU
FG% 44.8% 43.6%
3PT% 32.0% 31.0%
REB / G 37.4 36.7
OREB / G 11.1 12.4
AST / TO 1.01 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.4% 48.9%
TOV% 18.8% 16.7%
ORB% 32.1% 33.7%
FT Rate 32.8% 22.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.7% 51.0%
Opp TOV% 20.6% 17.8%
DRB% 72.3% 70.7%
Opp FT Rate 22.9% 23.3%

Game Analysis

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