And the only safe place to live is on an Indian reservation. "Ball of Confusion" - The Temptations
Western Athletic Conference · Global Credit Union Arena · February 23, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread GCU -11.5 Away covered
O/U 147.5 Under
Money GCU -1000 / CBU +600
Model Predictions
Spread Total GCU win
Actual GCU +2 130 Won
Massey GCU -8.3 (-6.3) — —
Massey Totals — 149.5 (-19.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 85% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 85% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ GCU -9.9 (-7.9) 146.1 (-16.1) 84% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML GCU -7.8 (-5.8) 147.3 (-17.3) 80% ✓
Baseline ML GCU -7.9 (-5.9) 146.2 (-16.2) 80% ✓
Baseline Plus ML GCU -6.8 (-4.8) 147.7 (-17.7) 79% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 15, 2025 GCU 75 – 66 CBU
Feb 9, 2025 CBU 85 – 71 GCU
Mar 10, 2024 GCU 68 – 47 CBU
Feb 18, 2024 GCU 79 – 76 CBU
Jan 15, 2023 CBU 79 – 74 GCU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GCU CBU
Overall 26-8 17-15
Conference 13-3 9-7
Home 16-1 11-5
Away 5-4 4-8
Neutral 5-3 2-2
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 77.6 71.2
Avg Pts Against 70.0 70.0
Massey 5.1 (#97) 0.0 (#160)
Bradley-Terry 1.00 (#89) -0.20 (#193)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.99 (#102) -0.10 (#176)
RPI 0.537 (#107) 0.492 (#199)
Shooting & Four Factors GCU CBU
FG% 44.8% 43.6%
3PT% 32.0% 31.0%
REB / G 37.4 36.7
OREB / G 11.1 12.4
AST / TO 1.01 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.4% 48.9%
TOV% 18.8% 16.7%
ORB% 32.1% 33.7%
FT Rate 32.8% 22.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.7% 51.0%
Opp TOV% 20.6% 17.8%
DRB% 72.3% 70.7%
Opp FT Rate 22.9% 23.3%

Game Analysis

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