Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +18 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | STAN -6.4 (+11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (+17.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -8.1 (+9.9) | 141.6 (+14.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -5.8 (+12.2) | 139.2 (+16.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -5.7 (+12.3) | 139.5 (+16.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -5.2 (+12.8) | 141.6 (+14.4) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | WASH 85 – 65 STAN |
| Jan 21, 2024 | STAN 90 – 80 WASH |
| Feb 26, 2023 | STAN 81 – 69 WASH |
| Jan 13, 2023 | WASH 86 – 69 STAN |
| Jan 15, 2022 | WASH 67 – 64 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 11-6 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#104) | 1.6 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.92 (#46) | 1.01 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.15 (#55) | 1.00 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#49) | 0.548 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 23.5% |
| DRB% | 78.1% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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