Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +17 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -3.3 (+13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (+19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -2.1 (+14.9) | 134.7 (+20.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -3.1 (+13.9) | 138.8 (+16.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -3.3 (+13.7) | 139.7 (+15.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -2.8 (+14.2) | 137.3 (+17.7) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | WASH 85 – 65 STAN |
| Jan 21, 2024 | STAN 90 – 80 WASH |
| Feb 26, 2023 | STAN 81 – 69 WASH |
| Feb 6, 2022 | STAN 87 – 69 WASH |
| Jan 15, 2022 | WASH 67 – 64 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 12-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#116) | 4.3 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#119) | -0.63 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#116) | -0.47 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#106) | 0.478 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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