Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | WASH -213 STAN +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +20 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -6.0 (+14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -5.1 (+14.9) | 159.4 (-9.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -5.1 (+14.9) | 159.5 (-9.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -5.1 (+14.9) | 160.2 (-10.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -5.0 (+15.0) | 160.8 (-10.8) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2024 | STAN 90 – 80 WASH |
| Feb 26, 2023 | STAN 81 – 69 WASH |
| Jan 13, 2023 | WASH 86 – 69 STAN |
| Feb 6, 2022 | STAN 87 – 69 WASH |
| Jan 15, 2022 | WASH 67 – 64 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-6 | 10-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.6 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 9.6 (#58) | 7.0 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#92) | 0.73 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#89) | 1.08 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#95) | 0.515 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 39.4% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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