Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | STAN -300 WASH +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +12 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | STAN -4.5 (+7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (+10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -3.4 (+8.6) | 139.9 (+10.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -2.7 (+9.3) | 139.6 (+10.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -2.6 (+9.4) | 140.3 (+9.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -2.8 (+9.2) | 139.0 (+11.0) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | WASH 85 – 65 STAN |
| Jan 21, 2024 | STAN 90 – 80 WASH |
| Jan 13, 2023 | WASH 86 – 69 STAN |
| Feb 6, 2022 | STAN 87 – 69 WASH |
| Jan 15, 2022 | WASH 67 – 64 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-6 | 12-6 |
| Away | 2-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 5.7 (#93) | 4.7 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#177) | 0.91 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#156) | 1.02 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#248) | 0.524 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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