Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +3 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | STAN -2.4 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (-11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -2.8 (+5.8) | 139.8 (-8.8) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -2.6 (+5.6) | 141.3 (-10.3) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -2.2 (+5.2) | 141.4 (-10.4) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -2.1 (+5.1) | 139.8 (-8.8) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | WASH 85 – 65 STAN |
| Jan 21, 2024 | STAN 90 – 80 WASH |
| Feb 26, 2023 | STAN 81 – 69 WASH |
| Jan 13, 2023 | WASH 86 – 69 STAN |
| Feb 6, 2022 | STAN 87 – 69 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 68.7 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#173) | 6.0 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#157) | 2.32 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#156) | 2.71 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#124) | 0.632 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.3% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 77.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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