Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | STAN -154 WASH +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +10 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -0.7 (+10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -0.2 (+9.8) | 158.3 (+11.7) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -0.4 (+9.6) | 156.2 (+13.8) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -0.1 (+9.9) | 156.7 (+13.3) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -0.3 (+10.3) | 158.8 (+11.2) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | WASH 85 – 65 STAN |
| Feb 26, 2023 | STAN 81 – 69 WASH |
| Jan 13, 2023 | WASH 86 – 69 STAN |
| Feb 6, 2022 | STAN 87 – 69 WASH |
| Jan 15, 2022 | WASH 67 – 64 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-6 | 10-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 80.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#98) | 9.7 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#124) | 1.29 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#117) | 1.67 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#131) | 0.574 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.9% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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