See my tailor, he's called Simon, I know it's going to fit. "Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll" - Ian Dury
Freedom Hall (KY) · February 6, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread BELL -6.5 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total BELL win
Actual KENN +5 145 Lost
Massey BELL -4.3 (-9.3)
Massey Totals 136.8 (+8.2)
Bradley-Terry 89%
Weighted B-T 86%
Efficiency Plus ML BELL -6.6 (-11.6) 134.6 (+10.4) 72%
Baseline Tuned ML BELL -5.0 (-10.0) 136.6 (+8.4) 72%
Baseline ML BELL -5.0 (-10.0) 137.3 (+7.7) 73%
Baseline Plus ML BELL -4.7 (-9.7) 137.2 (+7.8) 69%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 2, 2024 BELL 9695 KENN
Feb 3, 2023 KENN 9084 BELL
Jan 30, 2021 BELL 8479 KENN
Jan 29, 2021 BELL 8467 KENN

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.