The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
Freedom Hall (KY) · February 6, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread BELL -6.5 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total BELL win
Actual KENN +5 145 Lost
Massey BELL -4.3 (-9.3) — —
Massey Totals — 136.8 (+8.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 89% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 86% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML BELL -5.0 (-10.0) 136.6 (+8.4) 72% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BELL -6.6 (-11.6) 134.6 (+10.4) 72% ✗
Baseline Plus ML BELL -4.7 (-9.7) 137.2 (+7.8) 69% ✗
Baseline ML BELL -5.0 (-10.0) 137.3 (+7.7) 73% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 2, 2024 BELL 96 – 95 KENN
Feb 3, 2023 KENN 90 – 84 BELL
Jan 30, 2021 BELL 84 – 79 KENN
Jan 29, 2021 BELL 84 – 67 KENN

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.