The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
Kennesaw State Owls
95 96 OT
FINAL Conference
Bellarmine Knights
Atlantic Sun Conference · VyStar Arena · February 2, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread KENN -8.5 Away covered
O/U 153.5 Over
Money KENN -400 / BELL +350
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENN win
Actual BELL +1 191 Lost
Massey KENN -9.0 (-10.0)
Massey Totals 154.5 (+36.5)
Bradley-Terry 93%
Weighted B-T 93%
Efficiency Plus ML KENN -8.7 (-9.7) 146.1 (+44.9) 78%
Baseline Tuned ML KENN -7.0 (-8.0) 146.9 (+44.1) 76%
Baseline ML KENN -6.4 (-7.4) 148.3 (+42.7) 71%
Baseline Plus ML KENN -7.1 (-8.1) 148.3 (+42.7) 71%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 3, 2023 KENN 9084 BELL
Feb 6, 2022 KENN 7570 BELL
Jan 30, 2021 BELL 8479 KENN
Jan 29, 2021 BELL 8467 KENN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KENN BELL
Overall 15-16 8-23
Conference 6-10 4-12
Home 9-5 6-7
Away 4-11 2-16
Neutral 2-0 0-0
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L3 L2
Avg Pts For 81.5 67.5
Avg Pts Against 83.7 76.8
Massey -3.7 (#236) -9.2 (#311)
Bradley-Terry -0.20 (#200) -2.19 (#337)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.41 (#206) -2.35 (#329)
RPI 0.475 (#219) 0.408 (#323)
Shooting & Four Factors KENN BELL
FG% 44.6% 41.3%
3PT% 32.7% 33.1%
REB / G 36.2 30.4
OREB / G 11.2 7.8
AST / TO 1.09 1.16
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.7% 47.6%
TOV% 16.1% 16.1%
ORB% 28.7% 22.5%
FT Rate 25.9% 16.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.8% 54.0%
Opp TOV% 18.8% 15.5%
DRB% 68.2% 69.1%
Opp FT Rate 31.2% 22.5%

Game Analysis

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