Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -7.0 Push |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +7 | 175 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -5.8 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (+29.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -5.0 (-2.0) | 145.3 (+29.7) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -4.1 (-2.9) | 145.3 (+29.7) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -5.3 (-1.7) | 145.4 (+29.6) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -4.8 (-2.2) | 146.0 (+29.0) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2023 | LIB 79 – 73 EKU |
| Feb 12, 2023 | LIB 83 – 73 EKU |
| Jan 8, 2023 | EKU 62 – 59 LIB |
Game Analysis
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