Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | EKU +400 LIB -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +3 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -8.7 (+11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (-16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -8.1 (+11.1) | 137.7 (-16.7) | 23% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -8.4 (+11.4) | 136.5 (-15.5) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -6.8 (+9.8) | 138.1 (-17.1) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -8.2 (+11.2) | 139.7 (-18.7) | 20% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2023 | LIB 79 – 73 EKU |
| Feb 12, 2023 | LIB 83 – 73 EKU |
| Feb 6, 2022 | LIB 91 – 84 EKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-14 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 15-3 |
| Home | 14-2 | 19-1 |
| Away | 5-10 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 62.3 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#245) | 8.9 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#181) | 1.23 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#225) | 1.57 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#164) | 0.553 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 39.3% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 79.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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