Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | LIB -1000 EKU +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +10 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -14.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (+20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -11.7 (-1.7) | 135.6 (+20.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -12.7 (-2.7) | 138.7 (+17.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -12.5 (-2.5) | 137.1 (+18.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -12.1 (-2.1) | 138.1 (+17.9) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2023 | LIB 79 – 73 EKU |
| Jan 8, 2023 | EKU 62 – 59 LIB |
| Feb 6, 2022 | LIB 91 – 84 EKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 19-1 | 14-2 |
| Away | 6-7 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.3 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#52) | -1.0 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#61) | 0.62 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#68) | 0.43 (#139) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#44) | 0.552 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 79.7% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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